Dynamic estimation of flood process based on conjugate distribution;
基于共轭分布的洪水过程动态估值
Normal distribution is the major part of the statistics, the paper deals with the analysis and generalization of its natrue normal approach and the function of conjugate distribution.
对正态分布的性质及正态近似和求其共轭分布的意义和方法进行了分析和归纳 。
Using conjugate distribution,the updating recursion of the model parameters is given under the assumption of linear relation between natural parameter and system parameters; and Bayesian forecasting is derived,to
本文给出了观测值服从指数分布的动态指数分布模型，并在自然参数与状态参数之间满足线性关系ω_t=F'_tθ_t的假设下，利用共轭分布给出了动态指数分布模型多数的修正递推及其预测。